Equity vs Strategic Advantages [Beta]
by PokerStrategy.com
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Introduction
In this ArticleThe classic example for such a situation can be found in HPFAP, p. 40.
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| Let's suppose you have AKo in the BB and one or two aggressive players have called from an early position. Your best play is usually (but not always) to just call and (perhaps) try for a check-raise later |
The play advised by Sklansky is a big mistake. A PokerStove equity analysis delivers the following:
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| Source: PokerStove equity (%) win (%) / tie (%) Hand 1: 38.7700 % [ 00.38 00.01 ] { AKo } Hand 2: 30.6090 % [ 00.30 00.01 ] { TT-55, ATs-A6s, KJs-K9s, QJs-QTs, JTs } Hand 3: 30.6210 % [ 00.30 00.01 ] { TT-55, ATs-A6s, KJs-K9s, QJs-QTs, JTs } |
The standard argument against this calculation is that you can make back the EV you lose pre-flop in the post-flop game, since you can protect better with a smaller pot size and bring your opposition into positions where they either fold or make bad calls. A pre-flop raise- it is argued - allows our opposition to automatically make correct calls post-flop since the pot is simply too big.
This implies, however, that a good call by the opponent must be bad for us. While this is believed by 70% of all "good" players, it is not quite true.
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