1.1. Introduction
In this article
Let's assume the following situation:
Hero reached the
heads-up of an MTT after several hours of hard work. He has already
secured a sizable amount of prize money but first place is clearly
more lucrative. Thus Hero is extremely nervous and desperately wants to avoid making mistakes, no matter whether it's with the mouse
cursor in an online tourney or at a real B&M table.
Hero
sits in the small blind and receives A7. The blinds are at
5,000/10,000. Hero has 260,000 in chips. His opponent Villain is an
experienced and really cunning player with about a same-sized stack
of 250,000.
What to do?
Hero perceives his hand as
being strong but is afraid of his opponent holding a stronger ace or
pocket pair. Not wanting to risk his whole stack, he raises
to 40,000, ready to fold after a re-raise all-in.
His opponent
only calls though and the flop comes with T J 9. Not really what he
was hoping for. Villain checks, Hero makes a CB of 50,000 and Villain
pushes all-in. Hero folds without a second thought.
His
situation is now considerably worse (170,000 to 340,000) and his
experienced opponent can put him under pressure even better now. Hero
frets over the raise. Would a push have been a better choice after
all?
As we will see later: Yes. Even a push with a considerably
larger actual stack would have been +EV, whereas the raise puts him
into a difficult situation in the post-flop game should he not hit
his ace.