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Strategy: SNG: Sit and Go Tournaments

Push or Fold in Heads-up

by PokerStrategy.com

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1.1. Introduction

In this article
  • Pushing strong hands which have low playability
  • 4 different pushing charts

Let's examine the following situation:

Hero finally reached the heads-up stage of an MTT after several hours of hard work. He is already assured a sizable amount of prize money, but would win a lot more as the winner. This makes Hero nervous and desperate to avoid making a mistake, whether it's by pressing the wrong button in an online game, or making the wrong decision on a real-life table.

Hero sits in the small blind and receives A7. The blinds are at 5,000/10,000. Hero has 260,000 in chips. His opponent Villain is an experienced player with a big bag of tricks, and a similarly-sized stack of 250,000.

What to do?

Hero perceives his hand as being strong, but is afraid of his opponent holding a stronger ace or pocket pair. Not wanting to risk his whole stack, he raises to 40,000, ready to fold after a re-raise all-in. His opponent only calls, though, and the flop comes with T J 9. Not really what he was hoping for. Villain checks, Hero makes a CB of 50,000, and Villain pushes all-in. Hero folds without a second thought.

His situation is now considerably worse (170,000 to 340,000) and his experienced opponent can put him under pressure even better now. Hero frets over the raise. Would a push have been a better choice after all? As we will see later: Yes. Even a push with a considerably larger actual stack would have been +EV, whereas the raise puts him into a difficult situation in the post-flop game should he not hit his ace.

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Article Contents

  • page 1
  • page 2
    • 1.2. Goal of this article
  • page 3
    • 1.3. Starting situation
  • page 4
    • 2.1. Calculation
  • page 5
    • 2.2. Results
  • page 6
    • 2.3. Remarks about the charts
  • page 7
    • 3. Some thoughts about pocket pairs
  • page 8
    • 4. Conclusion
  • page 9
    • 5. Appendix

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