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[NL20-NL50] FR50 AQo against LAG and station

    • circoflax
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      On Game, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players

      BTN: $39.84 (79.7 bb)
      SB: $107.55 (215.1 bb)
      Hero (BB): $74.11 (148.2 bb)
      MP1: $88.24 (176.5 bb)
      MP2: $82.14 (164.3 bb)
      MP3: $69.82 (139.6 bb)
      CO: $32.42 (64.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q A
      MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 raises to $2.50, 2 folds, BTN calls $2.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $10, 2 folds, BTN calls $7.50

      Flop: ($23.25) 4 T 5 (2 players)
      Hero ???

      MP1 is 51/32/16 over 60 hands, went to showdown with some real crap so far. I was close to insta-getting it in with that guy if I got 4bet. I went for a bigger size 3bet because if I don't hit the flop I'm in trouble against this guy. Now he folds and the other guy calls.

      BTN is 43/13/3.8 over 163 hands. Fold to cbet 36, fold to turn cbet 0. AF 2.6. So pretty much a station but with some aggression too.

      Do I just give up on the hand? If he was more passive I would tend to check, but this guy may actually bet if I miss my cbet. If I cbet I'm commited but I have overs, backdoor :spade: and backdoor straight. Really ugly spot.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      A little more than potsize bet I would shove flop. Other option would be bet/fold small to 7$, but with backdoor A high flushdraw and overcards I think getting all-in against quite wide range should be fine.

      board: 4sTs5d
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AsQx 55.06% 643,722 38,340
      40% 44.94% 521,778 38,340

      Even against top 20% you´re doing fine:

      board: 4sTs5d
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AsQx 51.89% 293,483 32,526
      20% 48.11% 270,961 32,526

      and what to me is most surprising yore not that far underdog even against top 10% range

      board: 4sTs5d
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AsQd 45.74% 40,409 9,749
      10% 54.26% 48,842 9,749

      best regards,