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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 JTo

    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

      BTN: $25.37
      Hero (SB): $24.68
      BB: $29.37
      UTG: $16.21
      MP: $25.25
      CO: $31.58

      Pre Flop: ($0.37) Hero is SB with T :diamond: J :spade:
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.50) 5 :spade: 3 :heart: 4 :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.15, BB calls $1.15

      Turn: ($3.80) T :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.50, BB calls $2.50

      River: ($8.80) 5 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.50, BB raises to $24.97, Hero folds


      Would you cbet on this flop?
      On the river I bet for value mainly against middle PPs.
  • 4 replies
    • CallumN
      Joined: 04.01.2012 Posts: 1,141
      Nice hand I play the same vs this guy.

      Looking at his river aggression he is never bluffing in this spot 13% is just way too low
    • mawaykid
      Joined: 28.11.2009 Posts: 2,777
      Could explain me why cb flop is good?

      our range missed often this board, and vilan have alot Ax, PP and random floats, and he also does not seem to like fold to cbet, even fewer IP.
      and we only have 6 outs to keep barrel. right?
    • CallumN
      Joined: 04.01.2012 Posts: 1,141
      His fold to cbet is 50%. Thats nearly high enough that we could cbet any flop with ATC and expect to turn a profit
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello pcfmcc02,

      I don't like the CB here while his cold calling range which is just ~10% has hardly hit such a flop and most of his range will continue. I doubt that we have enough of fold equity vs the range.

      From the overall range I would assume him going to continue ~75% of the range which means: PPs/Ax hands which is mainly his calling range.

      Which means we have only 25% fold equity. We CB into $1,5 -> $1,15 which means we need ~44% fold equity which we don't get. Therefore in long run we ain't showing profit with the CB unless we plan to CB at least 2x or even 3x while I can't see this guy folding.

      Best Regards.