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[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH AJ vs 3bet

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($17.80)
      BB ($20)
      UTG ($20.90)
      CO ($26.95)
      Hero ($22.81)

      Dealt to Hero J:spade: A:spade:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.60, fold, BB raises to $2, Hero calls $1.40

      FLOP ($4.10) A:club: 2:spade: K:spade:

      BB bets $2.80, Hero calls $2.80

      TURN ($9.70) A:club: 2:spade: K:spade: T:heart:

      BB bets $6.40, Hero calls $6.40

      RIVER ($22.50) A:club: 2:spade: K:spade: T:heart: J:club:

      BB bets $8.80 (AI), Hero folds

      BB wins $21.38

      3bet in BTN vs MP izolation w 77
      call two barrels on Txx T board OOP, bet river big - bluff w busted GS
      open in UTG 3 bb w AKs, cbet 2/3 KJx, cbet 2/3 T when FD posible, bet 6 river < 1/2
      call vs UTG 3.5 open w 56s in BB, check OOP 6Txss w pair + FD, check 4 w flush, donk 8 river 1/3

      He is getting out of line from BB vs steal. Ok to call his 3bet? I done one 4bet at this session and he thinked long before folding, so I think he was less likely to believe this time. But vs such spewy 3bet it has good equity I think.

      Flop easy call, no need to raise, because if he reraises I am practically crushed by 2pairs and sets.

      Turn - this time this does not look like a bluff anymore. My calling range hits this boar very well. I am not calling with AT vs 3bet, but I don't know what he could put me on. I am not calling too many 3bets in general.
      He shoudl not put me on AA, KK, AK as well. WHat he could put me on is AQ.

      So he has the nuts lets say and my AJ is not good. But I have pair plus nut FD. I can hit J, A, but hitting a helps only if he is having weak ace which I beat anyway. And most likley he is having ace.
      KT should be in his range actually so for that reason my J or A outs are good.

      Would he bet Kx without two pair? He is not getting much value, but maybe for free showdown?

      But if I think he has nuts and I hit flush - he can easily fold 2 pair, so my impled odds decrease. He should definitely not fold set I think. He beats too much. So there should be implied odds.
      Plus he could have FD himself with a pair or without it and that adds to my implied odds.

      On ther river I don't think I beat anything. He would not shove sets or t2o pairs I guess.
      Now one though - is he showing busted FD? Board is very scary, so he could actually.

      But Qx is easily in his range.
      If he shove busted FD, then I practically can call even with one pair hand, because 2apirs or sets are just checking.
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Speed,

      Given what we know about opponent so far (really big aggro monkey) or decision should come preflop.

      For example, if I call here I plan to call down when we hit TP, or TP+draw, etc.

      Otherwise you are better off 4-bet bluffing preflop.

      As played our hand looks weak as well (calling down rather than raising at any point on this board) so I can see an aggro guy thinking he has FE on that river and given that we get about 20% pot odds I would call.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      so I can see an aggro guy thinking he has FE on that river and given that we get about 20% pot odds I would call.

      I have too big discipline to folding :D but here - there is lot of Qx in his range. Its really the good reasoning shoudl be.
      he should be really maniac to bluff on this board. But I don't have a read that he is such maniac.