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[NL20-NL50] nl 50 AKc fr

    • sandraardnas
      Joined: 11.01.2012 Posts: 2,034
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $63.64 (127.3 bb)
      BTN: $40.35 (80.7 bb)
      Hero (SB): $51.50 (103 bb)
      BB: $21.50 (43 bb)
      UTG+2: $20.82 (41.6 bb)
      MP1: $19.25 (38.5 bb)
      MP2: $54.79 (109.6 bb)
      MP3: $56.81 (113.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with K A
      4 folds, CO raises to $1.25, BTN folds, Hero raises to $4.25, BB folds, CO calls $3

      Flop: ($9) 5 6 5 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $3.50, Hero folds

      $9 pot ($0.40 rake)
      Final Board: 5 6 5
      CO mucked and won $8.60 ($4.35 net)
      Hero mucked K A and lost (-$4.25 net)

      villain is probably reg, he plays 4 tables and it was his 5 hand. Before he did 3bet once.
      I know I have to have bluffing range here, cause I wont get paid if have overpairs here.
      Even if balance is not the case, AK is still good against his range.
      But he wont fold 77+ here, he'll also probably float with worse broadways, so one bet is bad. Maybe I should bet bet bet with most equity hands like AK, AQ, and Ax with backdor FD or SD? and give up with rest like KQ, 9T etc.?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      On dry Flops you can think about firing thrice with AK to balance your overpairs. Assuming your opponent is getting around 30% pot odds on the River (facing a 65-100% pot size bet), you need to have 30% bluffs and 70% value hands in order to be balanced on the RIver (and prevent villain from exploiting you by either calling more or folding more)

      AK (16 combos)
      TT+ (30 combos)