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[NL2-NL10] Nl5 QJs

    • Riverdiver
      Joined: 12.07.2012 Posts: 1,126
      Should I bet/fold turn? When villain donk/calls I think he has a decent amount of 2pairs and sets that improve on the turn.

      iPoker - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: 67.4 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
      UTG: 66 BB (VPIP: 57.14, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
      MP: 103.6 BB (VPIP: 46.15, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
      Hero (CO): 101.8 BB
      BTN: 41.4 BB (VPIP: 22.86, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 38)
      SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 21.05, PFR: 19.30, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 58)

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q:heart: J:heart:

      UTG calls 1 BB, MP calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, MP calls 4 BB

      Flop: (12.4 BB, 2 players) T:heart: 9:spade: 8:club:
      MP bets 4 BB, Hero raises to 17 BB, MP calls 13 BB

      Turn: (46.4 BB, 2 players) 9:heart:
      MP checks, Hero checks

      River: (46.4 BB, 2 players) Q:diamond:
      MP bets 5 BB, Hero calls 5 BB

      MP shows A:club: 9:diamond: (Three of a Kind, Nines) (Pre 53%, Flop 3%, Turn 20%)
      Hero shows Q:heart: J:heart: (Straight, Queen High) (Pre 47%, Flop 97%, Turn 80%)
      Hero wins 53.6 BB
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,332
      Hey Riverdiver,

      I think you have a profitable bet on the turn here.

      Obviously it sucks if you get raised - but there is a decent chance villain 3bets flop with 2pair/set usually feeling they are strong enough to go broke with. Also if he did have one of these holdings I'd expect him to donk-bet flop larger rather than 1/3rd pot. 1/3rd pot more likely suggests weak-pairs/draws - so I think you miss value by not betting turn here.

      On river I think you can raise to 12bb and still expect to get called by worse, although you should keep your sizing very small on 4-to-straight textures generally speaking.