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[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH Js big bluffcatch

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20)
      Hero ($26.18)
      UTG ($57.02)
      CO ($21.67)
      BTN ($18.26)

      Dealt to Hero 8:club: J:club:

      fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $0.60, Hero calls $0.40

      FLOP ($1.20) 3:club: 9:heart: T:club:

      SB bets $0.80, Hero raises to $2.20, SB calls $1.40

      TURN ($5.60) 3:club: 9:heart: T:club: J:heart:

      SB checks, Hero bets $4.10, SB calls $4.10

      RIVER ($13.80) 3:club: 9:heart: T:club: J:heart: A:heart:

      SB bets $13.10 (AI), Hero calls $13.10

      Hero shows 8:club: J:club:
      (Pre 69%, Flop 66.0%, Turn 88.6%)

      SB shows 7:spade: 3:diamond:
      (Pre 31%, Flop 34.0%, Turn 11.4%)

      Hero wins $38

      call vs loose UTG 3bb opener in BB w AJs, c/c Q9x w BDFD, check 9, donk blank river - 1/2 - BLUFER
      mr in BTN w AJo when fish is in BB, cbh KQxss in 3way, call pot donkbet 9 w GS + nut FD vs fish, bet 2/3 6 w flush
      open UTG A6s, cbh IP 2nd pair, call 2/3 bet on 5, call 2/3 8 - BLUFFCATCHES VERY LIGHT
      call vs SB steal w K6o, call 3 streets w TP (river big bet when str and flush posible)

      So what do you think about river? there is FD missed and he probably sees that I go to sd about 21% so I assumed he might bluff. Or turn weak pair with busted draw into a bluff

      The problem is that his river agression is not that high.
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      Your stats tell me that he opens really wide from SB but he plays more straightforwardly postflop. Your notes tell me that he is indeed capable of making some small moves but I don't think he does anything too crazy based on what I see.

      Turn: I think this is an interesting spot - You now pick up top pair, I think betting is definitely fine but I wonder if checking is better. I do expect you to get check/jammed on a fair amount on this double flush turn and I don't really want to bet/call here and get forced to fold

      River: Well it all depends on whether villain is capable of shoving a busted draw here. Let's see what he could have.

      KQ/78s got there but I think he would check jam the Turn on this two flush board
      Hearts? I honestly fail to see how he can have too many hearts here. KQ would jam Turn, maybe he has K:hT? Q:hT, T:h8, 6:h8 - He reps only around 5 combos of hearts IMO
      maybe he turns some K:hTx into a bluff?
      Aces up - I really doubt he donks a hand like AT on the River, when you are strongly repping KQ/backdoor flush/sets/two pairs. Vs that range I think he is unable to value bet with such a hand

      I think he reps really narrow so calling is probably fine.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      maybe he has KT? QT, T8, 68 - He reps only around 5 combos of hearts IMO

      I definitely see in his range. He is bluffcathes light, only 68 maybe bluffraise turn because he does not have sd value.