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[NL20-NL50] NL50 22 bluff raise turn 3way. River?

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Gold
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Prima, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (SB): $59.82 (119.6 bb)
      BB: $94.95 (189.9 bb)
      UTG: $73.21 (146.4 bb)
      MP: $100 (200 bb)
      CO: $129.59 (259.2 bb)
      BTN: $112.43 (224.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 2:spade: 2:club:
      UTG calls $0.50, 2 folds, BTN raises to $2.50, Hero calls $2.25, BB folds, UTG calls $2

      Flop: ($8) 3:diamond: A:diamond: 8:club: (3 players)
      Hero checks, UTG checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($8) 9:diamond: (3 players)
      Hero checks, UTG checks, BTN bets $5, Hero raises to $15, UTG folds, BTN calls $10

      River: ($38) A:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $42.32 and is all-in,

      BTN 23/17, 31% agg.freq., flop Cbet 81%, fold CB to raise 50% (8), 1,1k hands

      UTG is a fish 60/20 36% agg. freq. over 203 hands.

      I think preflop is fine with the fish left to act.

      On the flop/turn, my initial plan was to give up, but when BTN, deiced to bet, the turn, i think his only value hand is 99, and perhaps smth. like 89. I think that he will bet all FD`s and Ax on the flop. He can have some mid pairs with a FD or just a hand like KdQx e.t.c.

      On the river, i decided to shove, to make him fold 89, mid pairs and hands like KdQx, that might bluff me if i check?
  • 2 replies
    • Gonchan
      Gonchan
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,877
      I don't think turn raise will be profitable with 2 outs.

      So I'll c/f turn although BTN "might" bluff position bet.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795
      hi.

      Don't bluff here - Pick better hands with a diamond in them to make such a play. Sure villain's range is capped but you shouldn't be getting too out of line here.

      BU could also have a flush a small % of the time if he does check some weaker flush draws on the Flop and the Ace is kind of a bad card to bluff though you are still repping a boat/flush here.