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[NL2-NL10] NL100 TT in SB vs loose mp raiser

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $19.50
      MP3:
      $49.65
      CO:
      $40.00

      0.5/1 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is SB with T:club: , T:heart: . CO posts a blind of $1.00.
      5 folds, MP3 raises to $4.00, 2 folds, Hero raises to $19.50 (All-In), BB folds, MP3 calls $15.50.

      Flop: ($41.00) 6:spade: , 2:heart: , 4:heart:
      Turn: ($41.00) 9:diamond:
      River: ($41.00) K:spade: (1 players)


      Final Pot: $41.00

      I'm thinking that 38% pfr (even with a small hand sample) is enough to go broke here - anyone disagree?
  • 7 replies
    • wuusaa
      wuusaa
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.05.2007 Posts: 455
      come on. why do you post this hand :D
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      because, like every other hand recently, I lost it. And when you're running bad, you need encouragement that your play is ok, I guess.

      But it's a question about hand samples, really. Basic Strategy does not permit us to reraise with TT. So we need a reason to diverge from that. Do you agree that pfr of 38% is enough of a reason when the stat is based on only 24 hands?

      Thanks
    • elhh82
      elhh82
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.09.2008 Posts: 6,838
      would have done the same here. I think we have plenty of fold equity preflop. If he calls we will probably be ahead most of the time or have a coinflip.
    • wuusaa
      wuusaa
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.05.2007 Posts: 455
      can you remember a situation where TT is not good enough vs a mp3 opener?

      edit: okay, nitty shortstacks/ NITs ^^
    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Dude, if you are asking us if this play is correct you seriously need a break.

      Take a week off, go to the cinema, go to some them-parks etc. Come back next week with your head-screwed on straight. Off course he's loose enough to push, TT is an amazing hand against his range.
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      As carrie fisher says in When Harry Met Sally: "You're right, you're right - I know you're right"

      :D
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Harry Potter ^^? Emma Watson? ^^

      Hey Tim,

      This Mp3 guy wants to get the blinds + he seems LAGGY already so your TT are good here against his range.

      SSS is quite a high variance game especially if you include some stats-based moves so switching to BSS where the variance is lower is an option.

      I do think you should take a conservative bankroll for midstakes (100NL+) so you do not have to worry about your Bankroll nor losses.

      I took a 50-75BI BRM but this is a personal preference.

      - Gerv