This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL2-NL10] AK pre nl10 sh

    • Malv19
      Malv19
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.09.2007 Posts: 367
      Hi
      Villain is 20/14/4 in 220 hands.

      I should fold in this spot ?? If I think that he play it with QQ+, AK.
      Tell me if this math is true please.
      Pot is 2,55(0.05 + 0,10 + 1,2 + 1,2) I assume that if I shove he call so I had to give 9,12$ in pot of
      2,55 + 9,12(his 4-bet and call my 5-bet)

      So
      11,67 : 9,12
      1,3 : 1

      I need 1/2,3 * 100% = 43%
      But with AKs I have 42% against QQ+ and AK, AKs.

      And what do you think his range can be wider??

      Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - Party-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      Hero (Button) ($10.32)
      SB ($2.30)
      BB ($10)
      UTG ($12.12)
      MP ($10.51)

      Preflop: Hero is Button with A:spade: , K:diamond:
      UTG bets $0.30, 1 fold, Hero raises $1.20, 2 folds, UTG raises $3.90, Hero raises to $10.32 (All-In), UTG calls $6.12

      Flop: ($20.79) 4:spade: , 5:heart: , 8:spade: (2 players, 1 all-in)

      Turn: ($20.79) 6:diamond: (2 players, 1 all-in)

      River: ($20.79) 9:club: (2 players, 1 all-in)

      Total pot: $20.79
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      According to my quick calculations you need ~43.85% equity and you have ~38.8% equity with AKo against QQ+/AK, so folding is fine.

      AKs has ~41.9% equity against the same range so it's closer to a shove but it's still a fold.

      Obviously these ranges are very narrow and depending on a ton of variables like how villain perceives you and how he's feeling at that moment, he could sometimes decide JJ/AQs is good enough, or randomly bluff some of the time too.

      So all-in-all it's hard to make a mistake there with AKo, the higher you'll play the more it becomes a shove preflop no matter what because people are capable of showing up with more hands in the heat of the moment.


      Hope it helps.