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[NL2-NL10] AKs nl10sh

    • mgrudzie
      Joined: 22.03.2009 Posts: 3,311
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($10.05)
      BB ($30.96)
      UTG ($18.19)
      UTG+1 ($10)
      CO ($5.38)
      BTN ($11.62)

      Dealt to Hero K:heart: A:heart:

      UTG raises to $0.35, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.20, fold, UTG calls $0.85

      FLOP ($2.50) T:heart: 3:heart: 6:club:

      Hero checks, UTG checks

      TURN ($2.50) T:heart: 3:heart: 6:club: 3:spade:

      Hero bets $1.70, UTG calls $1.70

      RIVER ($5.90) T:heart: 3:heart: 6:club: 3:spade: J:diamond:

      Hero checks, UTG checks

      Hero shows K:heart: A:heart:
      (Pre 47%, Flop 52.3%, Turn 31.8%)

      UTG shows 9:heart: 9:diamond:
      (Pre 53%, Flop 47.7%, Turn 68.2%)

      UTG wins $5.51

      UTG 27/19 after 53 hands, seemed reasonable for a nl10 player

      cbet or not cbet this flop and what next?
      i think my turn bet is bad
  • 3 replies
    • Duudalinja
      Joined: 21.12.2009 Posts: 1,030
      I would cbet there, because you have an FD and two overcards. If you hit your flush pot will be just too small and he won't punt any more money in it if you start some action after flush comes. If he raises you on flop, I would just call it. On the other hand you should be ahead of his range on flop assuming he would continue playing like 4.5% of his hands - 99+, AJs+ and AK, so you should be inclined to get it in and :heart: on the turn could be real action killer, but in my opinion when shoving it, I think he would play just AA, KK, QQ, TT or other hand you are behind, so I tend to just call it here.
      On blank turn I would play c/c, because I don't really wanna get raised in that spot.
      That could kill action on the river if flush comes, but imo that's better then getting it in earlier against hands you are mostly behind.
      That's just my humble opinion, could be completely wrong.
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      C-bet the flop to like $1.4 and jam over a raise, you just have too much equity against the bulk of his range to give up on that flop.

      Depending on how many pocket pairs I think he calls that 3-bet with preflop, I'll usually make a committing 2nd barrel even on blank turns if I think he have stuff like 77-99. We still have 30% equity against stuff like QQ if he shoves and if you check the turn you're pretty much forced to give up on that equity. We're of course continuing if any of our outs hit, tho since they're quite scary for him we're likely better off betting smaller or checking the turn, depending on just how much heat we think he can take with his 99/JJ kinda hands.

      Hope it helps.
    • mgrudzie
      Joined: 22.03.2009 Posts: 3,311
      if he raises this flop i can assume he has something like JJ+ (99+? ) or a set?

      Equity Wygrana Remis Zagubiona Ręka
      Gracz 1: 43,747% 43,747% 0,000% 56,253% AhKh
      Gracz 2: 56,253% 56,253% 0,000% 43,747% 99+, 66, 33