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[NL20-NL50] Blind battle river bluff

    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      iPoker - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 4 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BTN: $42.75
      SB: $51.02 VP:17//PR:14/AFq:38/Flop CBet:55%/TurnCBet:35%/River AF:1.29 (8k h)
      Hero (BB): $67.87
      UTG: $51.75

      SB posts SB $0.25, Hero posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has K:spade: Q:spade:

      fold, fold, SB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.00

      Flop: ($3.00, 2 players) A:spade: 9:diamond: 3:heart:
      SB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00

      Turn: ($7.00, 2 players) 9:heart:
      SB checks, Hero bets $4.50, SB calls $4.50

      River: ($16.00, 2 players) 3:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets $10.50, SB calls $10.50

      Don't I represent a 9 when I bet the river here?
  • 4 replies
    • falcone1983
      falcone1983
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      What's his check/calling range on the turn?

      --> Ax, strong pockets and an occasional 9.

      What % of that does he fold on the river?

      --> Almost nothing (you block KK/QQ!).

      Trying to get people to fold top pair, especially BvB, is not smart.

      I like everything up to the river BTW (even though you "should" probably 3bet KQs for value preflop for strategic purposes, but **** that on these stakes).
    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      yeah you are right he doesn't fold Ax here.
      I usually don't like 3B BB vs SB but prefer to play post flop IP instead.
    • falcone1983
      falcone1983
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      Yeah, I agree. It's just that we should probably 3bet this guy a fair amount with air, so we need enough value hands in our range to remain balanced. But nobody is going to be exploiting you for having a 3bet range that's too weak, so there's more value to be had by flatting.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      You can 3-bet pf, but if you want to float, then I´d just give up on the river
      You never has there 9x if you bet river, you´re likely not betting yourself smt like A5 then he would call you down with any Ax hand of often with TT-KK