[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH KQs flushdraw + overcards

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($12.76)
      BB ($18.49)
      UTG ($0.76)
      CO ($8.87)
      Hero ($10)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: K:diamond:

      fold, CO calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, fold, BB raises to $0.90, fold, Hero calls $0.40

      FLOP ($1.95) 2:diamond: T:spade: 6:diamond:

      BB bets $1.90, Hero raises to $9.10 (AI), BB folds

      Hero shows Q:diamond: K:diamond:

      Hero wins $5.47

      57/8/0.7 79 hands

      I just pushed to avoid difficult play later if he calls. But the question - do I have enough fold equity?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      Actually I don't like the shove at all, our equity ain't that great for example against AA. Of course we could put bigger range but I decided to give an overview since sometimes he may play this way his Aces as well.

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 64,848% 64,848% 0,000% 35,152% AA
      Player 2: 35,152% 35,152% 0,000% 64,848% KdQd

      Therefore at the best, I'd just Call with the implied odds rather than shove it directly in, of course we get some fold equity + our hand strength but I don't think that satisfies in long run the EV, rather it's -EV. And of course even safer play would be just fold it directly.

      Best regards.