[NL20-NL50] 3B in SB vs loose BU - theory

    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      iPoker - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      UTG: $50.00
      CO: $62.27
      BTN: $49.50 from LP VP:42/PR:37/Fold to 3B:66%/Fold to CBet:39% (14k hands)
      Hero (SB): $61.27
      BB: $50.00

      Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has A:spade: T:spade:

      fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5.00, fold, BTN calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.50, 2 players) 2:heart: 8:club: 5:spade:
      Hero bets $6.50, BTN calls $6.50

      Turn: ($23.50, 2 players) 3:diamond:
      Hero bets $14.50, fold

      Ok I think this is an important one.
      #1Against a BU that steals a lot I think it is good to 3B with ATs.
      #2OOP against his wide range I think I have to CBet almost every flop.
      #3 He doesnt fold often to CBet which implies that I know I have to fire a second barrel

      In the end if I follow this I am commited regardless of the board!
      I know that #2 is questionnable but if I CBet only on A,K,Q,J high boards won't I be exploitable?
  • 2 replies
    • N0pr3s3n7
      N0pr3s3n7
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 14.05.2009 Posts: 1,274
      betting this turn isn't good idea,because he won't fold anything of his range unless he had some high cards etc.I don't see him ever folding 8x or 22+.
      In general your thoughts are okey.When he doesn't fold much just barrel 2nd time and maybe tirth but if you decide to barrel 3 always leave a pot size bet or bigger on river !(Keep this in consideration with pot ratio/stacks on turn bet).
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      He would often float this board, so firing turn barrel is fine
      but I´d fold to shove, don´t expect him to shove smt like 67. Most likely he has there pairs, sometimes sets and I think you don´t have enough equity to b/c turn.
      Couple of simulations. Your best chance if you´re against only pp and 67

      oard: 2h8c5s3d
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AsTs 30.37% 735 0
      22-TT, 67 69.63% 1,685 0

      If you take out 67, since he would very often raise that hand on the flop

      board: 2h8c5s3d
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AsTs 14.86% 255 0
      22-TT 85.14% 1,461 0

      Even if we add some 8x hands and some A high semibluffs, like AJ, your equity is still very low
      board: 2h8c5s3d
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AsTs 15.72% 474 48
      22-TT, 89, 8T, AJ 84.28% 2,646 48