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[NL20-NL50] Nl 25 QQ Sh

    • z1pz0r
      z1pz0r
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.08.2009 Posts: 981
      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):
      $25.68
      MP2:
      $40.01
      MP3:
      $25.00
      CO:
      $25.00
      BU:
      $34.75
      SB:
      $26.68


      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, Q.
      3 folds, BU raises to $1.00, SB folds, Hero raises to $3.25, BU calls $2.25.

      Flop: ($6.6) 3, 7, 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.50, BU calls $3.50.

      Turn: ($13.6) A (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $7.00, Hero folds, BU gets uncalled bet back.

      Villan is reg 27/21, fold to 3bet 41%, aggr. factor 3,1, 46% fold to cbet on 3bet flops, 71% on turn. WTS=23% over 1000 hands.

      I don't really expect him to be bluffing on turn since there are aces in my range and I could just play for pot control or bluff induce. His bet makes me sure he has an ace. Maybe I should just blockbet turn?
  • 3 replies
    • bradomurder
      bradomurder
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.10.2008 Posts: 1,331
      if you don't think he'll bet w/out an A then don't blockbet. I'd put in a small river valuebet if he checks behind so he can call with weaker pairs that wont call on the turn
    • falcone1983
      falcone1983
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      Make it bigger preflop if he doesn't fold much to 3bets.

      In hindsight c/r flop seems like an attractive option, but I guess that's just being results-oriented.

      I think on this turn betting again is slightly the lesser evil. Check/folding doesn't seem correct vs. this guy, and he does have Ax in his range so check/calling twice will just get you owned too often.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I won´t really c/f turn. he is sometimes floating with Ax on the flop, but aslo may call with any pp or 89s, 68s and now betting turn
      I would likely barrel turn and then decide river if I want to c/c or if I check then c/c turn and again decide if I want to c/c river. He is not shoving river too many Ax hands, likely AQ+ and then his range is quite polarized against bluffs or sets