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[NL20-NL50] NL25 FR rush - 99

    • knb22
      knb22
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.04.2009 Posts: 212
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($26.59)
      BB ($10)
      UTG ($25)
      UTG+1 ($22.94)
      UTG+2 ($34.39)
      MP1 ($26.29)
      MP2 ($48.74)
      CO ($26.45)
      Hero ($65.58)

      Dealt to Hero 9:heart: 9:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $0.85, Hero calls $0.85, SB raises to $3.75, fold, fold, Hero calls $2.90

      FLOP ($8.60) 8:spade: T:spade: J:heart:

      SB bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

      TURN ($17.60) 8:spade: T:spade: J:heart: Q:spade:

      SB checks, Hero bets $57.33 (AI), SB calls $18.34 (AI)

      Villain plays 13/11, 3bet 5,6%, AF 1.5 over 125 hands

      Since nl25 rush is a nitfest, I should probably fold pre, but somehow I thought he was capable of squeezing light here (bluff 4bet pre better then?)
      On the flop, it's just ugly. I guess folding is totally fine, but I get good odds to call to hit the straight, eventhough it's not the nuts.

      Cliffs: confused every step of the way, should I just fold pre to avoid these spots?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think fold pf is better if you don´t really 3-bet yourself pf for value 99
      On that board I´d raise and play for stacks, you can´t really then make pf call profitable if you´re going to fold or call this flop.

      You´re flipping likely against his 3-bet range:

      board: 8sTsJh
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      9s9h 49.87% 27,407 486
      TT-AA, AQ-AK 50.13% 27,547 486

      and if he really 3-bet something like AT I think he is b/f on that board

      But yeah, folding pf is better option, also you can´t 4-bet shove pf, since likely he isn´t bluffing too often or won´t fold his 3-bet value hands