[NL2-NL10] NL25 RUSH MSS AKs draw

    • thazar
      thazar
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.09.2009 Posts: 6,560
      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      saw flop

      UTG ($25)
      UTG+1 ($28.23)
      MP1 ($13.51)
      MP2 ($25)
      Hero (MP3) ($9.71)
      CO ($25.60)
      Button ($31.94)
      SB ($28.46)
      BB ($25)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A, K
      2 folds, MP1 calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero bets $1.10, 2 folds, SB calls $1, 2 folds

      Flop: ($2.70) 10, 9, Q (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB calls $2

      Turn: ($6.70) K (2 players)
      SB bets $6.70, Hero calls $6.61 (All-In)

      River: ($19.92) Q (2 players, 1 all-in)

      Total pot: $19.92 | Rake: $0.99


      It is pretty likely he has got a J? In that case even if I give a 10% bluff (which might be high I don't know) can I justify my call ? by that I mean do I have the right odds to call?
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi,

      I see 10% bluff as a semi-bluff so hands like 7:c6 and then I get something like this:

      Board: K Q T 9
      Dead:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 64.998 % 64.545 % 0.905 % 34.549 % AJs, KJs+, QJs, JTs, Tc9c, 7c6c, 6c5c
      Player 2: 35.002 % 34.549 % 0.905 % 64.545 % AcKc
      You need 33% approx so this is call

      When you only see nuts here , you should fold
      Best regards,
      Gerv