[NL20-NL50] NL 20 Sh AA Sb

    • gonepoker
      Joined: 15.05.2009 Posts: 439
      Hi. Villain stats 23/19 3bet 10 AF 4 but only 57 hands of his history.. My thoughts: 3bet little more pre flop to something like 1.70. Villains calling range i think is 77-JJ I doubt he would call with suited connectors in a pot where shortstacker is. So I think he hit his set pretty often here but I think it's really too weak check/fold turn. What line is better to take bet/fold check/call? Don't think we consider bet/call here ?( very confusing thanks for the help!
      Hero (SB) ($20.63)
      BB ($80.43)
      UTG ($10.04)
      MP ($28.35)
      CO ($6.51)
      Button ($8.72)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A, A
      2 folds, CO bets $0.45, 1 fold, Hero raises $1.45, BB calls $1.35, CO calls $1.10

      Flop: ($4.65) 10, 9, 4 (3 players)
      Hero bets $2.80, BB calls $2.80, 1 fold

      Turn: ($10.25) J (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $4.80, Hero calls $4.80

      River: ($19.85) 2 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $13.20, Hero folds

      Total pot: $19.85
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Villain does cold call a 3bet OOP. This makes me think that his holding is heavily weighted towards medium size PPs (99-QQ possibly). He could also have some AK in there.

      After he calls the flop cbet with a shortstack left to act he is sitting on a made hand (JJ and QQ still possible). The turn brings the J and I think at this point we are behind more often than not. I don't think ck/folding is a bad move.
      There are 6 combos of QQ and 9 of sets however QQ, most likely, doesn't always flat preflop.

      I could see a bet-fold strategy on turn work if your opponent is straight forward and always raises sets there and calls the rest (in this case the QQ).
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      against 23/19 I´m never really getting away there AA
      I think you were going to bet/shove flop, so I don´t relaly see now why you should c/f J turn. You´re beat sometimes, but he can also hold there QQ/KK, maybe 88. Either way if I´m checking turn I´m going to c/rai rather than c/c, since I loose money from worse hands that would check back river or going to get stacked sometimes by better hands