[NL20-NL50] nl50 SH - Rush - AA - 3b pot 130 deep

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,913
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($50.25)
      BB ($56.55)
      UTG ($50)
      UTG+1 ($20.25)
      CO ($120)
      Hero ($67.55)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: A:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $1.75, CO calls $1.75, Hero raises to $8.50, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $6.75, CO calls $6.75

      FLOP ($26.25) 8:club: 7:spade: 2:spade:

      UTG+1 checks, CO checks, Hero bets $13, UTG+1 folds, CO calls $13

      TURN ($52.25) 8:club: 7:spade: 2:spade: 9:heart:

      CO checks, Hero bets $46.05 (AI), CO calls $46.05

      RIVER ($144) 8:club: 7:spade: 2:spade: 9:heart: 7:diamond:

      villain 15/10/1, wts 38, 268 hands
      I dont think we should be getting away from our hand here, only question is whether flop bet size is ok and whether we should shove turn or bet 25$ or s/thing?

      edit: villain had 99 here for turned set. What is your opinion of his flop call? I'm not sure. My squeeze is around 5%, so its mostly for value. I guess he calls hoping I have AK and check b/h turn but I think its probably a leak for him?
  • 3 replies
    • AninIII
      Joined: 13.07.2008 Posts: 944

      problem with this hand is, that CO is so tight and according to his preflop play AND flop play you are against a set nearly always (>90%).
      Betsizing on flop is fine.
      Turn is a check behind to me as well as river if he doesn't bet.
      If he bets, I'd consider to fold depending on his bet size.

      What did he have?

      Best regards,
    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,913
      What did he have?

      Already said in my post. If villain has a set on the flop, imo, he should be raising since any T,J,6 or even 5 may either improve my hand or kill his action.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      you can make it 15$, but 13$ is also fine on the flop, you´re going to shove anyway on any turn card, so if you don´t mind that 9s comes then you don´t have to bet more than half potsize
      Turn shove is fine, he should call you down with worse hands, like TT/JJ/9T or if he folds there also pairs/draws then it is also fine result. I wouldn´t make it 25$, since you´re pot committed to the pot and better get all the money in when you´re likely ahead

      About villains play: he is likely not sure about his hand and if 6,9,T comes he is not getting it away I guess he hopes you check down worse hands on the turn and river. Depends how many hands he has against you. I think his play is reasonable, since you sometimes can have there random A5s or smt and he should at least call once after calling pf