[NL20-NL50] nl50 SH - Rush - AA - 3b pot 130 deep

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,401
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($50.25)
      BB ($56.55)
      UTG ($50)
      UTG+1 ($20.25)
      CO ($120)
      Hero ($67.55)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: A:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $1.75, CO calls $1.75, Hero raises to $8.50, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $6.75, CO calls $6.75

      FLOP ($26.25) 8:club: 7:spade: 2:spade:

      UTG+1 checks, CO checks, Hero bets $13, UTG+1 folds, CO calls $13

      TURN ($52.25) 8:club: 7:spade: 2:spade: 9:heart:

      CO checks, Hero bets $46.05 (AI), CO calls $46.05

      RIVER ($144) 8:club: 7:spade: 2:spade: 9:heart: 7:diamond:

      villain 15/10/1, wts 38, 268 hands
      I dont think we should be getting away from our hand here, only question is whether flop bet size is ok and whether we should shove turn or bet 25$ or s/thing?

      edit: villain had 99 here for turned set. What is your opinion of his flop call? I'm not sure. My squeeze is around 5%, so its mostly for value. I guess he calls hoping I have AK and check b/h turn but I think its probably a leak for him?
  • 3 replies
    • AninIII
      AninIII
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2008 Posts: 944
      Hi,

      problem with this hand is, that CO is so tight and according to his preflop play AND flop play you are against a set nearly always (>90%).
      Betsizing on flop is fine.
      Turn is a check behind to me as well as river if he doesn't bet.
      If he bets, I'd consider to fold depending on his bet size.

      What did he have?

      Best regards,
      Anin
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,401
      What did he have?


      Already said in my post. If villain has a set on the flop, imo, he should be raising since any T,J,6 or even 5 may either improve my hand or kill his action.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      you can make it 15$, but 13$ is also fine on the flop, you´re going to shove anyway on any turn card, so if you don´t mind that 9s comes then you don´t have to bet more than half potsize
      Turn shove is fine, he should call you down with worse hands, like TT/JJ/9T or if he folds there also pairs/draws then it is also fine result. I wouldn´t make it 25$, since you´re pot committed to the pot and better get all the money in when you´re likely ahead

      About villains play: he is likely not sure about his hand and if 6,9,T comes he is not getting it away I guess he hopes you check down worse hands on the turn and river. Depends how many hands he has against you. I think his play is reasonable, since you sometimes can have there random A5s or smt and he should at least call once after calling pf