[NL20-NL50] SH50 rush 55 set ip deep

    • mrxLT
      Joined: 02.09.2008 Posts: 435
      Full Tilt - $0.50 NL RUSH (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      SB: $22.25
      BB: $51.50
      UTG: $48.75
      MP: $96.70
      CO: $50.00
      Hero (BTN): $98.50

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has 5:diamond: 5:heart:

      fold, MP raises to $1.75, fold, Hero calls $1.75, fold, fold

      Flop: ($4.25, 2 players) 5:club: Q:diamond: 9:spade:
      MP bets $3.00, Hero calls $3.00

      Turn: ($10.25, 2 players) 2:spade:
      MP bets $5.00, Hero raises to $13.00, MP calls $8.00

      River: ($36.25, 2 players) 8:club:
      MP checks, Hero bets $21.00, MP calls $21.00

      19/13 ~500 hands
      cbet flop 56(14/25) cbet turn 57(4/7)
      Is there more value in this hand? Thanks
  • 2 replies
    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Yeah, I would raise flop most of the time. If villain has nothing he probably ch/fold turn often anyway. If villain has AQ+ hes never folding to a flop raise and we have the chance for 200bb pot which is what we should be aiming at.

      Also, if he has AQ+ and turn is T/J he already gets nervous and less ready to invest a lot of his stack.

      As played, I make it $15 on turn - villain is either giving up to turn raise or not but $2 difference here = extra $5 on river.

      I dont think villain often has a set here - he should really be 3b turn most of the time.

      On river, villain is bluff catching almost always - I think you can make him pay for his line with a bigger bet - maybe even $30. In my opinion, when they call on turn in this situation they usually intend to call river unless obvious draw hits

      edit: by raising this flop we make it harder for opponents since we can have nuts or air - if you flat your monsters and raise your air villain will call you down lighter when you are raising. Finally, in 100bb pot you can flat flop more often, becuase with a raise on turn you can get stacks in - for 200bb the raise has to come earlier.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello mrxLT,

      As long we are so deep, I'd prefer to raise it also on flop. His CBet is way too small, most of the time he likely has a hand here. As played I would definitely raise a bit bigger on turn and bet bigger river, he is likely going to Call the raise or bet anyway.

      Best regards.