[NL20-NL50] [SH] Called Squeeze with 99 OOP

    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      iPoker - £0.50 NL - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BTN: £51.50
      Hero (SB): £76.24
      BB: £50.75
      UTG: £50.00
      CO: £58.38 VP:23//PR:19/Fold 3B in LP:78%/Fold to CBet:52%

      Hero posts SB £0.25, BB posts BB £0.50

      Pre Flop: (£0.75) Hero has 9:club: 9:diamond:

      UTG raises to £2.00, CO calls £2.00, fold, Hero raises to £7.50, fold, fold, CO calls £5.50

      Flop: (£17.50, 2 players) 2:diamond: 6:club: 4:spade:
      Hero bets £9.50, CO calls £9.50

      Turn: (£36.50, 2 players) Q:diamond:
      Hero checks, CO bets £11.50, Hero calls £11.50

      River: (£59.50, 2 players) 9:heart:
      Hero bets £47.74, fold

      CO is a decent player, not really happy with my 99 OOP. So first of is the squeeze good? I have to say that UTG is usually 22/17 but in this session was 28/24 (100 hands).
      CO Folds CBet only 52% but I still think that with my over pair plus initiative I have to CBet.
      I know he is going to float a lot so I C/C the turn with the idea of C/F river.

      WIth the 9 on the river should I C/shove to induce bluffs?
      On the other hand I don't know if he would Bet with AQ for instance and considering pot odds he has to call.
  • 3 replies
    • falcone1983
      falcone1983
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      Squeeze is horrible, both the squeeze in itself and the sizing.

      You get the chance to see a flop with a hand with beautiful implieds odds vs. a strong range, with relative position to boot, so why do you want to squeeze with questionable FE and the risk of having to play a bloated multiway pot OOP?

      As played flop & turn seem fine, I'd rather bet 14 or so on the river to extract some value from 88/TT/JJ type hands, and hopefully induce some spew. You lose a little value from AQ, but that's a small part of his range.
    • Dublimax
      Dublimax
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      hey Falcone,

      I agree that the squeeze is not good here.
      In the platinum article about squeeze they say 3 to 4 times the original raiser bet which would be between 6 to 8 £ here. How much would would bet?
      Thanks
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think 8$ (don´t have euros at my keyboard :) ) is fine squeeze amount. If you squeeze you should have quite strong range, so I don´t mind a little smaller amount since you´d do that also with AA/KK
      I would likely make it 11$ on the flop. he is likely going to call once or if turn is another blank, then call you down with 88/77/65, but generally you should get value on the flop with worse hands
      11,5$ is really that small amount which would make me want to c/rai turn. I doubt he is playing that way with too many better hands and you can´t really c/f river, so I´d likely just put all the money in myself to that bet size
      C/rai or betting river 12$ is likely better option, since he doesn´t have there very often hand that can call your river shove