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[NL20-NL50] [SH] FD right odds

    • Dublimax
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      iPoker - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 3 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $39.03
      Hero (BTN): $56.25
      SB: $83.00 VP:47/PR:28/C/R flop :4% (didnt see this stat while playing)

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has 9:diamond: A:diamond:

      Hero raises to $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB calls $1.00

      Flop: ($4.50, 3 players) T:club: 9:heart: 4:diamond:
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $3.00, SB raises to $7.00, fold, Hero calls $4.00

      Turn: ($18.50, 2 players) T:diamond:
      SB bets $12.50, Hero calls $12.50

      River: ($43.50, 2 players) 5:heart:
      SB bets $22.00, fold

      IP I like to call the C/R. but his C/R is only 4% so he probably has a hand here. I think Flop fold is better.
      Turn: I have 20% equity and have to pay 28%. Not quite there but I beleive that if I hit I will get paid.
  • 3 replies
    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Problem on turn is the board paired. So, when you say villain has a hand, Tx is unlikely, but if he has 44/99 you are drawing dead.

      So overall, I think vs this tight opponent you can probably fold turn. Vs more aggressive loose opponent, you may even consider calling it off or even raising turn yourself since he can have a wider range like JTs etc
    • Dublimax
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      The board is paired very good point. Clearly not a good call then. Thx
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      against 47/28 I won´t really b/f flop to small c/r since I think he is making there too many plays and he shouldn´t really have there 44/99/TT/T9, since he would very often 3-bet with TT/99 and you have some blockers to T9/99. So calling turn with 9+nut flushdraw is very standard, since you´re still ahead all his draws and he can easily barrel river air if you hit your 9, A, flush
      So then it is just question if you should call him down, since you´re still ahead his draws :)