[NL20-NL50] NL50 FR 76s missed draws, Good 3 barrel spot?

    • Hajler
      Hajler
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.10.2008 Posts: 270
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($102)
      BB ($50.75)
      UTG ($50.75)
      UTG+1 ($46.45)
      Hero ($52.55)
      MP1 ($28.60)
      CO ($95.70)
      BTN ($53.65)

      Dealt to Hero 7:diamond: 6:diamond:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, fold, CO calls $1.50, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($3.75) 9:heart: 4:diamond: 5:diamond:

      Hero bets $3, CO calls $3

      TURN ($9.75) 9:heart: 4:diamond: 5:diamond: J:spade:

      Hero bets $7, CO calls $7

      RIVER ($23.75) 9:heart: 4:diamond: 5:diamond: J:spade: Q:spade:

      Hero bets $18, CO calls $18



      Hello,

      Villain is 23/11/39WTS over 169 hands.

      In this hand the flop is very good for me and I want to play it fast and get it in or get him to fold, but things don't work out and I end up with 7 high on the river.

      First off I think I made a huge mistake by not looking at this guys WTS, and I should have just given up in this spot. However, if we were to assume he had a more normal WTS stat, do you think this would be a good spot for a 3rd barrel? Given that I was on a draw, how often will he be on one as well? What do think the optimal bet size is to get him to fold a middle pair here. Would he ever fold TPTK?

      Thanks!
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      yeah 39 wtsd means he would very often call you down
      But against 22 wtsd I would happily barrel river and expect him to fold all his worse hands than tp+ which he should almost never have
      15$ river bet should accomplish that
      about draws: most people would raise there with draws, so I think he doesn´t really have draws that often, rather smt like T9
    • Hajler
      Hajler
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.10.2008 Posts: 270
      Thank you! Very helpful reply. =)