[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - 99 resteal - 150bb

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,401
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($78)
      BB ($106)
      UTG ($20.55)
      UTG+1 ($35.45)
      CO ($53.45)
      BTN ($75.15)

      Dealt to Hero 9:diamond: 9:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5.50, fold, BTN calls $4

      FLOP ($11.50) 7:club: 5:heart: J:diamond:

      Hero bets $7.50, BTN calls $7.50

      TURN ($26.50) 7:club: 5:heart: J:diamond: 2:spade:

      Hero bets $13.50, BTN calls $13.50

      RIVER ($53.50) 7:club: 5:heart: J:diamond: 2:spade: 8:heart:

      [color=red]Hero bets $51.50 (AI)

      villain competent reg 22/17/2 wts 30, 700hs
      Is the river a good spot to turn our hand into a bluff?

      I assume I am up against QQ/KK/AA in this spot and theoretically all those hands could fold - even AA has to be afraid of JJ when we shove the river 100bb? (And KK/QQ should be fearing AA)

      p.s. Ok to bet the turn? I can ch/f ofc, but I assume villain has some random floats with AK/AQ etc and I dont want to make it easy for him?
  • 4 replies
    • PocketAcesJohn
      PocketAcesJohn
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.06.2008 Posts: 1,116
      Why are you trebble barraling?

      I like your pre flop 3bet. C-Bet standard.

      But on the turn what range are you putting him on?
      You say he has to be afraid of JJ which is true, but your range here is obvs alot bigger than that. Even if your range is JJ+ and he has AA then he has 50% of your range beat and is spliting 25% aswell as losing against 25%, which makes it a profitable call....

      River it's not a crime to turn your hand into a bluff, but whats the likley hood you think he can still fold? what was his win at show down %?
    • falcone1983
      falcone1983
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      Villain had odds to setmine IP preflop. And besides, it's not profitable to try to bluff people off overpairs in 3bet pots. They just don't fold (enough).
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by falcone1983
      Villain had odds to setmine IP preflop. And besides, it's not profitable to try to bluff people off overpairs in 3bet pots. They just don't fold (enough).
      +1
      Consider I yesterday got shown 3 barrel bluff with Ak on 2382J board although for 100bb i think players don´t really fold there overpairs and he is playing the same way his set.
      Only hand that you´re forcing out is AJ, QQ+ should call you donw thinking you´re either bluffing or somehow shoving AJ
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,401
      Fair enough - thanks. He showed KK so you're right. At least now I know he will pay me off when I have a set :)

      Do you just ch/f turn then or barrel to defeat floats?