[NL20-NL50] NL 50 FR, Q9s OOP FD on flop HU

    • oedipa
      Joined: 27.07.2009 Posts: 127
      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      saw flop

      UTG ($57)
      MP ($65.40)
      CO ($20)
      Button ($51.60)
      Hero (SB) ($50)
      BB ($50) 12/9 150 hands, fold to steal 7/7

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, 9
      4 folds, Hero bets $1.50, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3) K, K, 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $2, BB raises to $5, Hero calls $3

      Turn: ($13) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $7.50, Hero calls $7.50

      River: ($28) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB checks

      Total pot: $28 | Rake: $1.40

      I only steal with this hand because he is taggy
      I put him on broadway K on flop, but I have the odds to call.
      On the turn I have only 21% equity against his range, should I fold?
      It will be hard to extract value even if I hit and I have reversed implied against his FH.
      thank you for advice :)
  • 2 replies
    • falcone1983
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      Pre is read-dependent, if you think he folds often enough it's fine.

      Postflop, I don't really see a profitable way to play the hand other than bet/3betting it on the flop. He's gonna have so many bluffs here, and being OOP, drawing to nowhere near the nuts your hand's gonna be unplayable on future streets.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504

      What's his Raise CBet? What's his AF?
      On that you can decide what to do in such situtions.

      Preflop: I don't mind stealing against such an opponent, perfect hand and also he is folding to a lot of steals.
      Flop: For example if he raises a lot of CBets then you can even easily 3bet there. But against some passive one it could be reasonable to just Bet/Call and play the turn.
      Turn: I don't find any good reason to continue, we are OOP and ain't getting the correct implied odds (because it will be hard to extract value on river) and also you might be drawing against FH so I'd just prefer to Check/Fold there.

      Best regards.