[NL20-NL50] 4bet AK vs squeeze

    • supeyrio
      Joined: 11.11.2009 Posts: 3,106
      i'm not too sure about this. felt quite sick at my play. my 4bet is standard vs a super aggro villain who sqz 10% of the time. cold calling villain is unknown with slightly laggish stats. 24/14/4.3 with agg fact 3.7, 4bet 14%, wts 27%.
      to check fold flop seems too weak. to shove flop seems too look too bluffy, so i decided to play as if i have AA. i assign his range to be TT+, and had to call that shove as i had 20% vs his range and only needed 18% to be profitable. as much as i think this is the best play given i have zero reads, i still would like to seek a second opinion. ofc now that i know he flats KK vs cold 4bet in that spot, my play will be different

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($78.05)
      BB ($58.40)
      Hero ($62.50)
      UTG+1 ($27.35)
      UTG+2 ($61.80)
      MP1 ($50)
      MP2 ($21.05)
      CO ($85.75)
      BTN ($52.10)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: K:spade:

      Hero raises to $2, fold, UTG+2 calls $2, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $8, fold, fold, Hero raises to $19, UTG+2 calls $17, fold

      FLOP ($46.75) J:heart: J:diamond: 4:heart:

      Hero bets $18.50, UTG+2 raises to $42.80 (AI), Hero calls $24.30

      TURN ($132) J:heart: J:diamond: 4:heart: T:club:

      RIVER ($132) J:heart: J:diamond: 4:heart: T:club: 2:diamond:

      Hero shows A:heart: K:spade:
      (Pre 30%, Flop 18.0%, Turn 15.9%)

      UTG+2 shows K:club: K:heart:
      (Pre 70%, Flop 82.0%, Turn 84.1%)

      UTG+2 wins $129
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello supeyrio,

      First of all I wouldn't even CBet at all on such board, he is very likely having there QQ+ since I don't really expect an opponent that often to Call with TT such a huge squeeze+raise unless he is very loose. Check/Fold would be the line for me on flop.

      Best regards.