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[NL20-NL50] 22 @ sb NL50 vs CO nit aggro reg

    • supeyrio
      Joined: 11.11.2009 Posts: 3,106
      villian is 11/11 agg fact 4.6 22steal on Co.
      cbflop 80 cbet turn 62 WTS 27.
      river agg 2.2 agg freq 22%.
      what is the maximal EV play here vs his range? i mean we are definitely going to go to the showdown, but is shoving or flatting better? board ran out pretty dry. i think my play is best +EV line but need a 2nd opinion
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($91.20)
      BB ($20.35)
      UTG ($50.75)
      UTG+1 ($32.15)
      UTG+2 ($115)
      MP1 ($50)
      CO ($49.25)
      BTN ($54.85)

      Dealt to Hero 2:club: 2:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $2, fold, Hero calls $1.75, fold

      FLOP ($4.50) 4:spade: 9:club: 2:heart:

      Hero checks, CO bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

      TURN ($11.50) 4:spade: 9:club: 2:heart: 5:heart:

      Hero checks, CO bets $7.50, Hero calls $7.50

      RIVER ($26.50) 4:spade: 9:club: 2:heart: 5:heart: J:diamond:

      Hero checks, CO bets $14.50, Hero raises to $78.20 (AI), CO calls $21.75 (AI)

      CO shows 4:heart: 4:diamond:
      (Pre 81%, Flop 95.7%, Turn 97.7%)

      Hero shows 2:club: 2:diamond:
      (Pre 19%, Flop 4.3%, Turn 2.3%)

      CO wins $96
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think c/c till river and then c/rai is fine play.
      He is bluffing you quite often or if he has there overpair he would go 3 streets for value
      I would personally c/r that board very often, since somehow players doesn´t really want to 3-barrel me :P , so if they have overpairs I´d like to stack them on that board.