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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 Rush - 99 set vs UTG range

    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($29.68)
      BB ($29.73)
      UTG ($35.73)
      UTG+1 ($43.47)
      CO ($20.62)
      Hero ($25)

      Dealt to Hero 9:diamond: 9:club:

      UTG raises to $0.50, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.50, SB calls $0.40, BB calls $0.25

      FLOP ($2) 9:heart: T:diamond: 5:spade:

      SB checks, BB checks, UTG bets $2, Hero calls $2, SB folds, BB folds

      TURN ($6) 9:heart: T:diamond: 5:spade: Q:heart:

      UTG bets $6, Hero calls $6

      RIVER ($18) 9:heart: T:diamond: 5:spade: Q:heart: 6:heart:

      UTG bets $27.23 (AI), Hero calls $16.50 (AI)

      Villain - 15/8/3AF (14 hands)

      so little hands but I think his UTG minr is pocket pairs pretty often.
      So that we somebody isoraises behind, he can still call relatively inexpensively with small to mid TT/JJ pockets that he never wants to fold pre and slowplay/"trap" pre with QQ+

      So vs TT it's a shame, cooler, what can you do ...
      Q turn is ugly, but luckily all the other opps folded @flop and I never ever expect him to pot with a gutshot+overs vs 3 opps there so KJ is not of concern even if it was in his UTG range in the first place.

      So basically it has to be TT/QQ+

      maaaybe 87 :heart: ? Though that shouldn't be in he's range, but realistically we have no sample on villain so who knows.

      Anyway vs TT+ range I am slightly ahead so standard?
      Or would you actually consider folding @river?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      consider how you played it can´t really fold river. he is shoving all his two pair hands, 55 and maybe also AQ+
      consider he made potsize bet I would likely raise flop and get it all-in before board uglier to his overpairs, also I think turn shove against potsize bet is one option or if you decide to call him down then you can´t really fold to river shove