[NL2-NL10] NL10 AKo river shove

    • nktns
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 452
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($10)
      BB ($6.24)
      UTG ($5.54)
      UTG+1 ($9.37)
      CO ($10)
      BTN ($25.61)

      Dealt to Hero K:spade: A:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, BB calls $0.20, UTG+1 calls $0.20

      FLOP ($0.90) A:spade: 8:club: 3:diamond:

      Hero bets $0.60, BB calls $0.60, UTG+1 folds

      TURN ($2.10) A:spade: 8:club: 3:diamond: T:diamond:

      Hero bets $1.40, BB calls $1.40

      RIVER ($4.90) A:spade: 8:club: 3:diamond: T:diamond: 9:diamond:

      Hero bets $2, BB raises to $3.94 (AI), Hero calls $1.94

      vpip: 17, pfr: 13, af: 0.9, WTS: 39%, 336 hands

      Again could bet bigger on flop/turn so it would be easier to b/c river, but as played i think i have to still call, right?
  • 2 replies
    • fryandspicy
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 440
      You have 5.6 - 1 odds on the river which means i think you need to have him beat more than 15% of the time (100/5.6+1) to call here. I don't think you do.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello nktns,

      Preflop: Once again it's like a min-raise to me. :P I would do it ~$0.40.
      Postflop: Flop & Turn bets are totally fine but since the opponent has pretty small stack and we want on river his whole stack you could consider betting a bit bigger every streets so you could easily just shove on river in.

      Otherwise yes, it's 15,18% to make it breakeven.

      As played
      We don't beat much there since his AF ain't that big either so you could even consider folding there but it ain't wrong if you Call there while you getting pretty decent % for profitable Call. In the game I guess I would make the crying Call. Just would be a lot easier for us if we would have bet bigger flop & turn and shove river ourself but that happens, try to work with your bet sizings and try to calculate always how much does opponent have left, how much you need to bet to get his whole stack and so on.

      Best regards.