[NL20-NL50] TPGK IP vs Calling Station

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Full Tilt Pot-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      Hero (BB) ($25)
      UTG ($27.99)
      MP ($67.98)
      Button ($9.09)
      SB ($19.04)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with J, A
      UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, SB calls $0.15, Hero bets $1, UTG calls $0.75, SB calls $0.75

      Flop: ($3) 3, 6, A (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2, 1 fold, SB calls $2

      Turn: ($7) 3 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4

      River: ($15) 9 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB calls $5

      Total pot: $25 | Rake: $1.25
      Main pot: $25 between Hero and SB, won by SB

      Villains is 43/28/1.1 over 55hands

      I guess flop and turn are standard but on the river the question is : Value bet or not? I thought he is able to call a small bet with worse but I want some other opinions too :s_biggrin:
  • 4 replies
    • Wriggers
      Wriggers
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,250
      It's hard with players like this because they can have everything from middle pair to AK on here. He won't be folding any A here so I think the small river bet is fine, as you're not losing much more when he calls with better but you are getting a value bet in, i'd say the majority of his hands are going to be beaten by your AJ here, although AQ does seem to show up a lot in these situations.
    • bradomurder
      bradomurder
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.10.2008 Posts: 1,329
      i'd bet ~$10 rather than $5 most of his calling range is Ax and youbeat the majority + they're all calling a bigger bet

      in fact i'd bet 5 on turn to allow a bigger river bet
    • MatejM47
      MatejM47
      Black
      Joined: 21.01.2010 Posts: 1,193
      Well the 40VPIP thats basically a station will play A2 the same as AQ and AK in this spot so you can't miss a value bet and since his never folding any ace i'd just make it 10$.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Against 43/28 I´d likely just would put him all-in on the river
      He should most of the times 3-bet with AK, so he sometimes has there A9/AQ, but you beat AT, A8, A7, A5, A2. And since he has there 2/3 pot left I think putting him all-in for 9$ should be +EV if you decide to bet river