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[NL2-NL10] NL2 AKs Odds and Outs

    • p0rkus
      Joined: 03.03.2009 Posts: 230
      Known players:      

      0.01/0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.90 by

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:diamond: , K:diamond:
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, 2 folds, BB calls $0.06.

      Flop: ($0.17) T:diamond: , 8:diamond: , 2:heart: (2 players)
      BB bets $0.06, Hero raises to $0.16, BB raises to $0.73 (All-In), Hero calls $0.57.

      Turn: ($1.63) 3:club:
      River: ($1.63) 4:club: (2 players)

      Final Pot: $1.63

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      Hero shows (Ad Kd)
      BB shows a pair of tens (Kc Tc)

      BB wins with a pair of tens (Kc Tc)

      So let me see if i 'get it':
      I raise because I believe it is correct, but then he shoves. As soon as he shoves we now consider how much I have to call compared to the pot RIGHT NOW and forgetting the amount of money I have put in before. So 0.17 + 0.06 + 0.16 + 0.67= 1.06
      and i have to call 57 = 57:106 ~ 1:2 - with my outs i need about 1:1 because the odds double because we are all in. Yes :) ?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello p0rkus,

      You need ~34 equity to make the Call profitable there and against his stack and range you are easily getting it, put some hand with he might shove there, we also could add a lot more hand what might even get us even more equity but just to understan it, that the Call there is profitable.

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 56,999% 56,999% 0,000% 43,001% 88, JTs, T8s, JTo, T8o
      Player 2: 43,001% 43,001% 0,000% 56,999% AdKd

      Best regards.