[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - AKo 3b pot, deep, vs reg

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,765
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($134)
      BB ($91.85)
      UTG ($50.25)
      UTG+1 ($126)
      CO ($236)
      BTN ($190)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: A:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5.25, fold, BTN calls $3.75

      FLOP ($11) 7:spade: 5:heart: 8:diamond:

      Hero bets $7.75, BTN calls $7.75

      TURN ($26.50) 7:spade: 5:heart: 8:diamond: K:spade:

      Hero bets $16.50, BTN calls $16.50

      RIVER ($59.50) 7:spade: 5:heart: 8:diamond: K:spade: T:club:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $17.25, Hero calls $17.25

      villain 17/13/3 , W TS 28/ fold versus 3b 54%, 1.9 K hs
      up to the River looks okay. I don't think we can expect to get called by worse on the River.

      If that is correct, should we be check/folding or bluff catching as in the actual hand?

      If we are bluff catching, what size of bet would you plan on calling on the River?
  • 4 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I agree, very hard it is get called down by worse hands if we bet again river, unless we make it smt like 10$-12$ which has two goals:
      - we get light calldowns smt like 99
      - we induce bluffraises from worse hands

      but c/c is also fine. I would likely call bet smt like 33$, don´t think players would very rarely bet more for value or for bluff on the river, since if we have air we´re just c/f or if we have made hand then we might fold to very big bet
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,765
      He had 88 here. I think he should be more like $25-$30 minimum.
    • falcone1983
      falcone1983
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      It's super hard for him to have better here since not raising this flop this deep with a set is idiotic.

      He appears to have a hand he wants to show down, so bet like $22 (fold to a raise).
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by Tim64
      He had 88 here. I think he should be more like $25-$30 minimum.
      +1
      Agree he should bet more against your hand, but I guess he thought you really don´t have there tptk hand most of the times and he wanted to get call by Tx, JJ/QQ hands or maybe induce smt like AQ