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[NL20-NL50] Nl25 Fr Ak call IP

    • Bhualaba
      Bhualaba
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.12.2009 Posts: 25
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      villan: 150hands 15/8, very agressive posftlop so i decided just to call IP

      should i fold the river?


      Known players:
      SB:
      $8.02
      BB:
      $16.80
      UTG1:
      $41.58
      UTG2:
      $25.50
      MP1:
      $24.27
      MP2:
      $25.00
      MP3 (Hero):
      $25.00
      CO:
      $25.00
      BU:
      $25.95


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A, K.
      UTG1 raises to $0.85, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.85, 3 folds, BB calls $0.60.

      Flop: ($2.65) K, 5, 6 (3 players)
      BB checks, UTG1 bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00, BB folds.

      Turn: ($6.65) Q (2 players)
      UTG1 bets $5.50, Hero calls $5.50.

      River: ($17.65) 3 (2 players)
      UTG1 bets $16.75, Hero calls $16.65(All-In).

      Final Pot: $51.05.
  • 4 replies
    • Hajler
      Hajler
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.10.2008 Posts: 270
      Hello,

      I think this is a tough spot, but would lean to the side of folding. It's hard to think of many hands a guy with 8 PFR would raise from UTG then fire 3 barrels on a fairly dry board with that you are ahead of. I don't think a tight guy like this will raise SCs from UTG, so you can rule out him bluffing with a busted draw. If you think he is aggressive enough to do this with AQ or some sort of random bluff then I guess you can call. The only thing that sucks is that sometimes you will fold to his AK.

      Hope it helps.
    • Bhualaba
      Bhualaba
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.12.2009 Posts: 25
      his agro factor and frequency was really huge, but sample isnt very big.
      tbh i dont like my call
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Fold is likely a little better, since only hand that he may play that way is AK, that you´re chopping, but very likely he would play also that way QQ-AA

      board: Kd5c6sQh3c
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AK 23.08% 0 72
      Ak, QQ-AA 76.92% 84 72

      23% equity isn´t good enough to call his river shove
    • i5bet72o
      i5bet72o
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.06.2010 Posts: 1,615
      Kaitz: dont u also have to consider bluffs when looking at equity.
      I prefer a fold on the river except if u have history that he was willing to barrel off air.