[NL2-NL10] NL4 SH J8 weak flush

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,066
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.04(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1.88)
      Hero ($5.01)
      UTG ($4.09)
      UTG+1 ($5.14)
      CO ($4.66)
      BTN ($8.72)

      Dealt to Hero J:spade: 8:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.04, SB calls $0.02, Hero checks

      FLOP ($0.12) 6:heart: 5:heart: 4:heart:

      SB bets $0.04, Hero calls $0.04, BTN calls $0.04

      TURN ($0.24) 6:heart: 5:heart: 4:heart: K:heart:

      SB bets $0.04, Hero calls $0.04, BTN calls $0.04

      RIVER ($0.36) 6:heart: 5:heart: 4:heart: K:heart: 7:diamond:

      SB bets $0.08, Hero calls $0.08, BTN calls $0.08

      BTN shows T:heart: Q:club:
      (Pre 42%, Flop 41.0%, Turn 97.6%)

      SB shows 3:diamond: 5:diamond:
      (Pre 30%, Flop 33.7%, Turn 0.0%)

      Hero shows J:spade: 8:heart:
      (Pre 28%, Flop 25.3%, Turn 2.4%)

      BTN wins $0.54

      On turn I just call because I raise, worse will not call.
      River - one of those have flush almost 100% but the bet is small, so I have to be ahead 0.08/(0.36+0.08+0.08) = 0.16 = 16% of the time. It is possible, right?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      Your play is totally fine but you likely only drawing for 7 :heart: and since you and BU are that deep then I don't mind to Call and hoping him to have the Ace but against bigger bets just fold it right there. But on river you can likely just give it up, you don't beat much, often behind since you are in multiway pot.

      And yes, the calculations are correct, well done! But I don't really expect to be ahead that often since we are in multiway pot.

      Best regards.