[NL2-NL10] Nl4 Sh Ak

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.04(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1.69)
      Hero ($4.97)
      UTG ($4.22)
      UTG+1 ($5)
      CO ($4.66)
      BTN ($8.84)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: A:diamond:

      fold, fold, CO raises to $0.12, fold, SB calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.52, CO calls $0.40, fold

      FLOP ($1.16) 9:spade: 8:diamond: 7:heart:

      Hero bets $0.56, CO raises to $1.90, Hero folds

      CO wins $2.18

      He is 36/28/5 over 25 hands.

      I have to bet flop because if I don't, he will bet with AK,AQ hands and I will have to fold. So I win at least against those hands by betting. Hands that he is not folding is QQ-99, (with KK and AA probably he would not call preflop).

      So there is 24 compbinations of QQ-99 hands and 32 combinations of AK,AQ. So I win 42% of the time by betting. I inverst ~0.5 to win ~1.6 so it is profitable. Ok, sometimes he may reraise me on flop with AK, if he reraise me all the time with AK, I still have 28% equity.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      The question is either we have any fold equity at all against such a Call, how wide does he Call 3bets, does he have usually PPs in his range and etc, against some tigher opponent who doesn't Call that often 3bets I expect to have PPs very often in his range and sometimes I even skip the CBet and just Check/Fold. As you decided to CBet there then I would likely make it a bit bigger ~$0.70.

      Best regards.