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[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - A7, flush draw, turned g/sht

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($13.30)
      BB ($50)
      UTG ($37.40)
      UTG+1 ($84.30)
      CO ($8.75)
      Hero ($50)

      Dealt to Hero 7:club: A:club:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB calls $1

      FLOP ($4.50) 4:club: 2:heart: 6:club:

      SB bets $1, BB calls $1, Hero raises to $5, SB folds, BB calls $4

      TURN ($15.50) 4:club: 2:heart: 6:club: 8:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $12, BB raises to $43.50 (AI), Hero folds

      BB wins $37.55

      pretty sure I missed played this one way or the other. Villain (bb) 14/12/2, 300 hands; chk/R 17%

      I don't see villain ever having 35 or 57 here given his stats, so I assume he is never bluffing when he check/shoves the turn. against sets we have only 22%, whereas we need 31%, so I guess fold on the turn is mandatory.

      Given that I'm wondering whether it was correct to bet the turn at all? Probably I should have put this villain on the big hand when he called the flop raise and taken my free card?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Tim64,

      After the nitty villain decides to Call us on flop I often expect him to continue the hand anyway so I would often even consider just Checking back on river since he also has pretty big Check/Raise value.

      Free cards on such situations are often better than continuing betting and building up the pot. Also fold equity is pretty small in such cases, so we often only play for building up the pot in case we hit the river.

      Best regards.