[NL20-NL50] NL25 facing a river donk AI with a set on 3suit board

    • Crokid
      Joined: 09.11.2007 Posts: 133
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      CO (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is CO with T, T.
      MP2 calls $0.25, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 3 folds, MP2 calls $1.00.

      Flop: ($2.85) T, 5, 8 (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $2.25, MP2 calls $2.25.

      Turn: ($7.35) A (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $5.50, MP2 calls $5.50.

      River: ($18.35) 3 (2 players)
      MP2 raises to $48.80(All-In),Hero?

      Up to the river I think everything is standard, wrigt? Villain is playing 46/19/AF 2.4 river agg 11.0, donkbet 19%, AGG freq. for river is 56%
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Crokid,

      Until the river is totally fine since we want to protect form any kind Ax type of hands which are drawing for flush but on river I don't really see us beating there anything since he shoved in, he very likely has us beat with flush since he would never do such move with 2pair type of hand unless he just trying to bluff us out. So folding is safer. But the question could also be if he is capable of shoving there with set of 88 or 55 but since we have shown a lot of strength I still rarely see him do that. So what did he have, as I see you Called.

      Best regards.
    • Crokid
      Joined: 09.11.2007 Posts: 133
      He had AK of diamonds.
    • bigdwong
      Joined: 14.05.2009 Posts: 305
      Really tricky I think because you don't want to get bluffed out by some donkey. It was either a Ace high made flush or basically air imo, weighing the possibilities of the two depends on how crazy you think the player is I suppose.