[NL20-NL50] NL50 KK river value bet?

    • z1pz0r
      z1pz0r
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.08.2009 Posts: 981
      Hia its me again


      No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      BB ($105.60)
      UTG ($59)
      MP ($52.70)
      CO ($38.10)
      Button ($85.15)
      Hero (SB) ($50)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with K, K
      3 folds, Button bets $1.50, Hero raises $4.75, 1 fold, Button calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.50) 8, 10, 7 (2 players)
      Hero bets $7, Button calls $7

      Turn: ($24.50) 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $14, Button calls $14

      River: ($52.50) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $24 (All-In), 1 fold

      Total pot: $52.50

      Villan is 21/18 with 1,8 aggr. factor over 118 hands. No other specific reads, seems pretty solid.

      He thought like really long before calling turn. My guess is that he was on some kind of draw.

      I think that his range on river consists mostly of sets, busted draws and JJ, QQ.
      Should I play c/c instead? The only hands that I have value bet against are JJ and QQ and I think that regs usually fold those on turn.
      Thoughts?
  • 2 replies
    • falcone1983
      falcone1983
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      Bigger pre and on this board, get it in over two streets.

      As played he has so little perceived FE, so I don't think check/calling makes sense. If he calls turn with QQ/JJ, he'll call river as well.

      So good shove.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would c/c river. I think he won´t call you down there with Tx and very likely he would shove turn QQ/JJ or 4-bet QQ pf
      His hand likely has some kind of draw, sometimes Tx and if he isn´t calldown happy then he would fold his one pair hands on your river shove