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[NL20-NL50] nl25 sh rush K9s OOP

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      UTG ($27.12)
      MP ($27.73)
      CO ($27.78)
      Button ($54.67)
      SB ($82.01)
      Hero (BB) ($49.20)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9, K
      3 folds, Button bets $0.75, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.50, Button calls $1.75

      Flop: ($5.10) A, 5, A (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.75, Button calls $3.75

      Turn: ($12.60) J (2 players)
      Hero bets $8, Button calls $8

      River: ($28.60) 8 (2 players)
      Hero checks, Button checks

      Total pot: $28.60 | Rake: $1.43

      villain is 17/13/1.8 with ATS 29 and fold to 3bet 67

      Should I barell or not? I thought that I am able to make him fold all pp < JJ.
      Also if the turn wasn't a J and the river either is it posible a 3 barell ?
  • 3 replies
    • falcone1983
      falcone1983
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      Too many Ax in his range.

      Give up on the turn.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think 88 and lower pp-s would very often just fold to your flop bet
      That leaves 99-KK that would likely fold, but that is too small range consider very often people would 4bet pf with KK-TT (especially since you´re 3-betting with K9s)so there isn´t really enough hand combos that he would flat on the flop and fold on the turn
      If you picked up flushdraw I don´t mind barreling turn but without no equity c/f turn is better

      Don´t think J matters that much, since you´re still beating AQ and lower Ax hands with your AK. But if you want to 3-barrel then you ahve to shove river to make fold his weaker Ax hands but I´m not sure that nl 25 players make these huge folds and you don´t really have to risk 200bb for that when player can easily have there AK or boat himself
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      what is your sample size? Fold to 3b of 67% usually means 2/3 samples. Given that this guy looks generally tight, I'm not crazy about the 3b pre.

      I agree with the others, as played, to check/fold the turn. You can't even be sure that QQ folds here.