[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 Rush - 2nd nuts deep

    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($29.85)
      BB ($107)
      UTG ($49.08)
      UTG+1 ($25.57)
      CO ($38.35)
      BTN ($27.37)

      Dealt to Hero 4:heart: J:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1, BB calls $0.75

      FLOP ($2) K:heart: 9:spade: Q:heart:

      Hero bets $1.35, BB calls $1.35

      TURN ($4.70) K:heart: 9:spade: Q:heart: 4:club:

      Hero bets $3.50, BB calls $3.50

      RIVER ($11.70) K:heart: 9:spade: Q:heart: 4:club: 3:heart:

      Hero bets $6, BB raises to $102 (AI), Hero ???

      Villain - 33/24/20% 3bet/1.5AF (passive on F & T - inf on River)/FoldBB 33%
      FvsCbet: 0% (no sample, 21 hands)

      On one hand 130bb isn't deep enough to fold second nuts (ooor ??)
      on the other hand - does he ever shove with a T high flush or anything worse?

      This has to be a stone cold bluff or nuts ...

      BUT, he has 3bet 10 hands out of 21 total played hands ...
      So he looks to be an aggro, and what does an aggro do when he sees
      an Ace in his hand? If any ace isn't in this 3betting range IP then I don't know what is - so I don't believe him really.

      + I bet big on 2 streets and 1/2 on river so he can credibly rep a FD and never expect that from me.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      You can´t fold there J high flush, since he is shoving there any flush and also you can sometimes see made hands turning into bluffs
      Although his af is 1.5 i think 33/24 might easily raise flop with nut lfushdraw, since it is hu pot and very often you don´t have hand that can face a lot of heat