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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 Rush - Timing bluff vs nit

    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10)
      BB ($24.82)
      UTG ($17.68)
      UTG+1 ($31.57)
      CO ($58.02)
      Hero ($25.68)

      Dealt to Hero 7:diamond: 5:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.60, SB calls $0.50, fold

      FLOP ($1.45) 4:spade: 5:diamond: 2:spade:

      SB checks, Hero bets $1, SB calls $1

      TURN ($3.45) 4:spade: 5:diamond: 2:spade: 6:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $2.58, SB calls $2.58

      RIVER ($8.61) 4:spade: 5:diamond: 2:spade: 6:diamond: T:diamond:

      SB bets $3.10, Hero raises to $21.50 (AI), SB folds

      Hero shows 7:diamond: 5:spade:

      Hero wins $14.07

      Villain - 5/0 over 38 hands

      I'll just paste a chat discussion with another player I had on this hand ...

      [16:07:34] StaticMoth: lol, Vic was it you that said timing = powwweeer? :D
      check this out, vs a pretty nitty player I instashoved river
      [16:07:34] StaticMoth: pot is like "huge" and he only has about $2 smth left
      [16:07:42] StaticMoth: he tanks and folds
      [16:09:46] Vic: if he only has 2 behind
      [16:09:51] Vic: I prefer call in this spot tbh
      [16:09:53] Vic: oO
      [16:10:39] StaticMoth: neeh, he's super nitty so I expect him to have better pairs ... I don't think I have any showdown value there ...

      So I decide to go for a bluff, only way to win the pot and if he doesn't fold I only lose 11bb extra ... that risk is worth the reward if it works imo
      [16:11:26] StaticMoth: his river weak donk and his nitty stats was exactly like some pair that wanted to control the pot ... and I like no hesitation instashipped
      [16:11:26] Vic: I think we have 0 fold equity when we give him 1:8
      [16:11:33] Vic: obv u prove me wrong
      [16:11:42] StaticMoth: don't underestimate the "power" of the nits :D
      [16:13:00] Vic: and ye, the bet looks exactly like a pair
      [16:13:14] Vic: problem is that they usually level themselves to call any pair when the see such good odds
      [16:14:57] StaticMoth: true ... but

      he was 5/0 nit ... the way I played flop & turn ... I feel I'm beat but he's not strong either ...

      so I feel like my only +EV move is to instashove and look real strong to him and hope for the best ... they don't think odds

      cause I can't win any other way than bluffing him off ... and that $2,72 extra isn't much to pay if there is the slightest of possibility for this result that just happened :D
      [16:15:23] StaticMoth: we just playing his mind ... and hopefully succeed
      [16:15:31] Vic: why no overbet shove turn?
      [16:15:38] Vic: if that's what u think
      [16:16:05] StaticMoth: good question ... I think I wasn't thinking of turning my hand into a bluff at that moment
      [16:16:25] StaticMoth: but the second he donked small, I knew insta I had to turn it into a bluff, no other way to win it.
      [16:16:26] Vic: I don't like it but I'm no expert in these spots
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Getting these odds he shouldn´t fold better hand,s o he may easily just bet out himself with busted draw
      I think call is quite reasonable on the turn. Dn´t think you can fold out better hands, so don´t like shove