[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 Rush - TPTK mono board BvB

    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($37.36)
      BB ($25)
      UTG ($30.16)
      UTG+1 ($50.86)
      CO ($51.97)
      BTN ($15.06)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: Q:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1, BB calls $0.75

      FLOP ($2) 5:club: Q:club: 7:club:

      Hero bets $1.36, BB raises to $4, Hero pushes ???

      Villain - 32/14/FoldBB: 40%/3bet 0%/9AF/FvCbet: 0%/FlopAF 2.0 & 20% AgFq (44 hands)

      Push directly? Lot of ugly turn cards and OOP + we're BvB which increases our relative hand strength.
  • 2 replies
    • falcone1983
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think it is close and it really depends what hands he is raising on that flop

      board: 5c7cqc
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AdQd 39.99% 41,770 1,983
      55,77,75,qkc,qjc,ac*,kc* 60.01% 63,167 1,983

      Against his made hands and pair+fd or K, A high flushdraws you have 40% equity. but he also has there flushes that he would raise also flop for value

      So I would prefer waiting on the turn and then putting money in if I think player is attacking that board too often with bluffs and draws, since then our equity is at least close to 50%

      board: 5c7cqc4s
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AdQd 48.01% 2,204 70
      55,77,75,qkc,qjc,ac*,kc* 51.99% 2,390 70

      And strangely even if river are blank we´re still only winning 63%
      board: 5c7cqc4sth
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      AdQd 63.46% 65 2
      55,77,75,qkc,qjc,ac*,kc* 36.54% 37 2

      So I think playing it safer than just shoving flop is imo better way, since first people don´t attack that often these boards and if they do, they either have nuts that are ahead our range or bluffs that won´t call our shove anyway.