[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 Rush - Set $$$

    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($48.75)
      BB ($10)
      UTG ($30.04)
      UTG+1 ($25)
      CO ($25)
      Hero ($42.57)

      Dealt to Hero 5:heart: 5:club:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.75, fold, Hero calls $0.75, fold, fold

      FLOP ($1.85) 5:diamond: 3:club: T:diamond:

      UTG+1 bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25

      TURN ($4.35) 5:diamond: 3:club: T:diamond: K:heart:

      UTG+1 bets $1.50, Hero raises to $5.07, UTG+1 calls $3.57

      RIVER ($14.49) 5:diamond: 3:club: T:diamond: K:heart: A:diamond:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $6.50, UTG+1 calls $6.50

      Villain - 21/15/AF0.7/33% Cbet (50 hands)

      Very tight-passive so I expect him to have JJ+ here - so raising the flop should be the best way to go really to get it in?

      Dunno what to really think of his turn b/c and river c/c

      Does he really cbet this shitty board OOP/33% cbet with AK?
      Don't think so ...

      He's waaay too passive to play Kx :diamond: this way ...
      For a more cautios player who only raises the nuts ...
      b/c turn & c/c river could be QJ :diamond:

      But still he's waaay too passive to b + b/c draws, so it has to be a made hand already.
  • 2 replies
    • falcone1983
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      He doesn't 3bet much, so he probably has an overpair and people are superbad at folding overpairs.

      Raise flop & get it in.

      You should be bluffraising this flop quite a lot anyways.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I also prefer raising flop and playing for stacks, since I would very often attack that board with air and a lot of draws, so people won´t really fold there overpairs and very often just shove over your flop raise
      And if he has there Ak I doubt he would barrel you with blank turn card
      Turn raise and river valuebet is fine. he should have still enough times AK to make that profitable and he may also call you down JJ/QQ