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[NL2-NL10] pair of AA

    • EagleNebulaM16
      Joined: 12.11.2009 Posts: 55
      I play multitabling. I don’t have any read. I have only statistics for opponent.

      Holdem Manager statistics:
      VPIP/PFR/3-Bet/Fold to 3bet
      Flop CB/Fold to flop CB/Bet Flot/Fold vs flop bet
      Check raise/ Agg Factor/Went to Showdown/ Hands


      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.04(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($4)
      BB ($4.37)
      UTG ($9.97)
      UTG+1 ($3.80)
      CO ($3.60)
      BTN ($4.69)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: A:spade:

      UTG raises to $0.08, fold, CO calls $0.08, fold, Hero raises to $0.32, BB calls $0.28, UTG calls $0.24, CO calls $0.24

      FLOP ($1.28) J:spade: K:spade: 5:heart:

      Hero bets $0.96, BB calls $0.96, UTG calls $0.96, CO raises to $3.28 (AI), Hero raises to $3.68 (AI), BB folds, UTG folds

      TURN ($9.76) J:spade: K:spade: 5:heart: 6:spade:

      RIVER ($9.76) J:spade: K:spade: 5:heart: 6:spade: 7:diamond:
  • 2 replies
    • DoigteurFou
      Joined: 16.08.2007 Posts: 1,529
      I don't see him reraising allin with KQ, only with a set. Moreover two players called your flop bet, means that there must be at least one set here, given the preflop action they had great implicit odds to call. There is no scenario in my opinion where your aces are ahead. I'd fold to the reraise allin, even if the odds to call seem good.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello EagleNebulaM16,

      I am not folding there, way too much dead money in the pot and also we are getting pretty good equity, we need ~36% and that's what we getting easily.

      For example against a tighter range:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 51,654% 51,557% 0,193% 48,249% KK, JJ, 55, KJs, QsTs, KJo
      Player 2: 48,346% 48,249% 0,193% 51,557% AsAd

      Easily get 36%.

      Even looser range, what could easily be his range:
      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 37,770% 37,417% 0,706% 61,877% KK, JJ, 55, AKs, KJs+, QsTs, AKo, KJo+
      Player 2: 62,230% 61,877% 0,706% 37,417% AsAd

      Here even we have a better equity. Therefore I am also Calling the shove. Plus! Take into consideration, it's NL4. :) Just curious, what did he have then? Nice hand!

      Best regards.