[NL20-NL50] nl50 Rush - KTs BU vs reg - top 2

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,400
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($50)
      BB ($46.05)
      UTG ($38.65)
      UTG+1 ($56.55)
      CO ($89.15)
      Hero ($88)

      Dealt to Hero T:diamond: K:diamond:

      fold, fold, CO raises to $1.75, Hero calls $1.75, fold, fold

      FLOP ($4.25) 3:spade: T:heart: K:spade:

      CO bets $3, Hero raises to $10, CO calls $7

      TURN ($24.25) 3:spade: T:heart: K:spade: J:diamond:

      CO checks, Hero bets $13, CO calls $13

      RIVER ($50.25) 3:spade: T:heart: K:spade: J:diamond: 8:spade:

      [color=red]CO checks, Hero bets $12...

      16/12/2 wts 27, CO 13% oR; 350hs
      Had difficulty putting this guy on a range during the hand.

      Turn seems to improve a lot of hands he would call on flop: KJ/AsQs/QJ, but I think we are mostly ahead here. Is my turn bet too small?

      I somehow thought I would not get called by worse if I bet bigger.
      Do we want to be shoving the river if checked to us?

      On the river I thought my perceived range was improved by this card and so I bet small to get a call from AK/KQ type hands. The range I now think is realistic for villain to have on river: {AA, QQ, AKs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, KT, QTs+, JTs, AKo, KJo+}

      Of these 92 combos we are ahead of around 1/2 {AA, QQ, AKs, QJs, JTs, AKo, KQo - 48 combos - which might call a (smallish) bet}.

      Any thoughts?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would b/c turn to 17$, since you should want to play for stacks and then you can shove river on blank card and if your image is bad then he might easily call you down with AA/AK
      River bet is fine. I think he can´t really fold to that small bet tp+ hand and he more often has there tp hand rather than draw