[NL2-NL10] 1 hand NL 100$ - overpair on suited flop

    • xylere
      Joined: 27.05.2007 Posts: 2,939
      OnGame's Room No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (8 handed) by Hand Converter CG

      CO ($84.30)
      Button ($122.00)
      SB ($98.50)
      BB ($100.00)
      UTG ($96.30)
      Hero ($21.20)
      MP1 ($48.50)
      MP2 ($42.15)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with T:spade: , T:heart: .
      UTG calls $1, Hero raises to $5, 6 folds, UTG calls $4.

      Flop: ($11.50) 2:diamond: , 5:diamond: , 6:diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets 2.5$, Hero?

      UTG is unknown... The question is will you put him on made flush or on strong draw?
      In my opinion it closer to fold, because even if his is drawing with an A or K of diamonds he has additional outs, besides he could possibly have two overcards (most probably) like Kd Qh or something like this. In this case i am slight underdog (48% equity). And he is betting into pre-flop raiser, that also indicates strenght I guess.. on top of that his bet looks like valuebet)) I guess if he was bluffing he would bet close to potsize...
  • 1 reply
    • Berliner1982
      Joined: 12.07.2006 Posts: 5,640
      It could also be a block bet with the Ace of diamonds here. I think I would push here against unknown and make a not after the showdown. I might still have some fold equity here, that makes the 48% equity to a 50:50 chance.