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[NL20-NL50] [SH] OESD missed river bluff

    • Dublimax
      Joined: 22.11.2008 Posts: 2,233
      iPoker - £0.50 NL - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: £50.00
      /PR:UTG: £49.75 VP:17/PR:13/F CBet:82
      Hero (CO): £98.00
      BTN: £52.61
      SB: £34.98

      SB posts SB £0.25, BB posts BB £0.50

      Pre Flop: (£0.75) Hero has 6:diamond: 7:diamond:

      UTG raises to £1.75, Hero calls £1.75, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: (£4.25, 2 players) 5:heart: 8:spade: 2:club:
      UTG bets £3.00, Hero calls £3.00

      Turn: (£10.25, 2 players) 3:heart:
      UTG bets £6.50, Hero calls £6.50

      River: (£23.25, 2 players) 3:spade:
      UTG checks, Hero bets £15.00, fold

      I float flop with OESD since he is CBetting 82% of the time.
      I'm not sure what to do then. Would he second barrel with AK type of hands? or has he overpair?

      River I bluff to get ride of AT+.
  • 3 replies
    • falcone1983
      Joined: 17.05.2009 Posts: 5,420
      I guess you rep a set pretty well.

      Nice hand.
    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      I dont think villain is folding big pairs to this size of river bet (well, I wouldnt fold AA/KK/QQ/[JJ] etc - but then im a calling stn). Reasoning is that std line for set is raise turn to get stacks in, so your hand looks less like a set on the turn than an overpair to board or 8x.

      However, weaker overpairs, hands like 77 and random overs (e.g. AK/AQ) that just decided to barrel should give it up so I think your betsize is probably ok since that range is bigger than 18-24 combos of big pairs, and if you bet pot to try to force out the big overpairs it looks bluffy whereas your size looks more like a vbet to me.

    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I´d played the same way. Very often he just has there air and would c/f, so river bet should work most of the times.
      Even if you put him on overpairs on the turn you should call ip, since he then very likely fire again river and you can shove for value. But I think players would also sometimes 2-barrel there with overcards, especially that picked up flushdraw