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[NL20-NL50] NL 50. Dopper on the river

    • AlexGerasim
      AlexGerasim
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.01.2009 Posts: 1,021
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($92.75)
      BB ($41.70)
      Hero ($64.05)
      UTG+1 ($17.40)
      CO ($241)
      BTN ($54.40)

      Dealt to Hero A:club: K:diamond:

      Hero raises to $1.75, UTG+1 calls $1.75, CO calls $1.75, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($6) A:diamond: 7:club: 5:diamond:

      Hero bets $4, UTG+1 folds, CO calls $4

      TURN ($14) A:diamond: 7:club: 5:diamond: 2:diamond:

      Hero bets $8.50, CO calls $8.50

      RIVER ($31) A:diamond: 7:club: 5:diamond: 2:diamond: K:heart:

      Hero bets $15, CO raises to $227 (AI), Hero calls $34.80 (AI)

      Villain seems like reg. Should I bet/f river?
  • 3 replies
    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      I think you are up against a flush or set nrly 100% of the time when villain ships like this on river.

      So definitely bet/fold imo, without reads.

      Could even consider ch/f on river - since I dont think villain has many bluffs in his range now and its hard to think he will call worse hands now. Maybe too weak. But bet/call is overplaying I think.
    • TheRebuz
      TheRebuz
      Black
      Joined: 12.10.2008 Posts: 2,078
      i think that shove on river is pure value shove, he dont have a lot of blufs/hands u beat in his range imo

      i think checking turn for pot control is ok
      also i think checking on river is best play, cos i cant see him call you with worse hand except AxQd but i think he will bet that hand on river + some blufs too so i think most value u gain bu checking river
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I personally think that it is never good idea putting in 60% on your stack and then folding top two pair. You should have some reads, how did he get that stack. Usually it means that player is very aggressive and making quite a lot of moves, so I don´t mind b/c river, although against unknown b/f might be better.